The 2019 annual report and the first quarterly report in 2020 of domestic home appliance enterprises are basically in line, and the downward pressure on the performance of most home appliance enterprises is obvious.

With the general decline in revenue, the income ranking of the big three household appliances has undergone subtle changes. Midea Group’s performance reached a new high. Haier Intelligence overtook Gree Electric to rank second. In terms of color TV, the boost of Huawei’s smart screen to the confidence of the color TV market was not reflected in the performance, and the revenues of Konka, Changhong, Skyworth and Hisense declined.

In contrast, the overall scale of household appliances has maintained growth due to the continuous emergence of new categories. Midea, Supor, Jiuyang, and Xiaoxiong Electric Appliances have shown good pressure resistance under the epidemic situation. In the kitchen appliance market, the growth rate of kitchen appliance companies such as Boss, Vantage and Wanhe slowed down, and the revenue of main products declined.

Under the price war, the air-conditioning business is both ice and fire.

In 2019, the performance of Midea Group, Gree Electric and Haier Zhijia, the three giants of home appliances, changed subtly. The growth rate of each revenue shows signs of slowing down, but the range is obviously different.

In 2019, the revenue gap between Gree Electric and Midea Group widened. Midea Group achieved revenue of 279.381 billion yuan last year, a year-on-year increase of 6.71%; In the same period, Gree Electric’s total operating income was 200.508 billion yuan, up only 0.24% year-on-year. Haier Zhijia achieved an operating income of 200.762 billion yuan last year, a year-on-year increase of 9.1%, and its revenue surpassed that of Gree Electric.

The above changes in performance are inseparable from the air-conditioning market situation in 2019. Last year, Gree reported Oaks, and the price war in the industry started again. The air-conditioning business of the three companies is two worlds apart.

In 2019, the proportion of Gree air-conditioning business revenue fell below 70%. During the reporting period, Gree’s air-conditioning business revenue was 138.665 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.93%, accounting for 69.99% of the revenue. Compared with 78.58% in the same period last year.

Compared with Gree, Midea Group’s air-conditioning business performed relatively stably last year. In 2019, Midea Group’s HVAC revenue was 119.607 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.34%, accounting for 42.99% of revenue. Last year, the revenue difference between Midea Group and Gree air-conditioning business was 19.1 billion yuan, the smallest in the past eight years. On the other hand, Haier Zhijia, air conditioning has become the most obvious business with declining performance. In 2019, Haier’s air-conditioning product revenue was 29.128 billion yuan, down 8.32% year-on-year.

In the second echelon, Hisense’s air-conditioning business achieved a main business income of 16.369 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.92%; Changhong Meiling air-conditioning business realized operating income of about 5.909 billion yuan, down 12.81% year-on-year.

In terms of profit, Midea Group achieved a net profit of 24.211 billion yuan in 2019, a year-on-year increase of 19.68%. Midea Group’s net profit reached a new high, approaching Gree Electric. In the same period, Gree Electric’s net profit was 24.697 billion yuan, down 5.75% year-on-year; Haier Zhijia’s net profit was 8.206 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.7%.

The epidemic also affected the air-conditioning market in the first quarter. According to the data of Aowei Cloud, in the first quarter of this year, the scale of the air-conditioning industry was 14.92 billion yuan, down 58.1% year-on-year.

The quarterly report of the home appliance giant also confirmed the market downturn. In the first quarter, Midea Group’s revenue decreased by 22.86% and its net profit decreased by 21.51%. Haier Zhijia’s revenue decreased by 11.09% year-on-year, and its net profit decreased by 50.16% year-on-year; Gree Electric’s scare was even more obvious. In the first quarter, its revenue decreased by 49.70% and its net profit decreased by 72.53%.

Affected by the epidemic situation and the implementation of the new national standard for air-conditioning energy efficiency, the uncertainty of the air-conditioning market still exists. On the evening of April 29th, Dong Mingzhu told the Beijing News reporter, "Despite the resumption of production in April, the liquidity is still very small. We were affected in the first quarter, and it still has an impact in the second quarter so far."

Ultra HD and glory smart screen failed to boost the performance of color TV enterprises.

In 2019, the color TV retail market continued to be sluggish. According to the data of Aowei Cloud, the annual retail sales volume was 47.72 million units, down 2.0% year-on-year, and the retail sales volume was 134 billion yuan, down 11.2% year-on-year. The demand for color TVs declined for the first time in six years.

The market downturn is reflected in color TV enterprises, which is the decline in performance. . In 2019, Konka Group’s operating income was 55.119 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.49%; The net profit was 212 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 48.45%. Konka Group attributed the decline in performance to the loss of color TV business to a certain extent due to factors such as rising costs and intensified market competition. In 2019, Konka Group’s color TV business revenue was 8.766 billion yuan, accounting for 15.90%, down 11.39% year-on-year.

Sichuan Changhong also suffered a decline in performance due to the loss of color TV products. In 2019, Changhong’s operating income was 88.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.5%; The net profit was 330 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 49.4%. Among them, the TV business realized an operating income of 11.13 billion yuan, down 16.1% year-on-year.

Skyworth Group’s overall turnover last year was 37.277 billion yuan, down 4.4% year-on-year, and its net profit was 747 million yuan. The turnover of multimedia business including color TV business was 21.505 billion yuan, down 13.3% year-on-year.

Last year, Hisense’s video revenue was 34.105 billion yuan, down 2.91% year-on-year; The net profit was 556 million yuan, up 41.71% year-on-year. Hisense’s TV business revenue was 29.383 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.54%.

From the perspective of TV business revenue volume, Hisense Video occupies the first place, Skyworth ranks second, and the proportion of TV business of Sichuan Changhong and Konka Group further decreases. Judging from the decline in revenue, Hisense TV has strong pressure resistance, with a decline of 3.54%, while the other three companies all fell by more than 10%.

In 2019, opportunities and challenges coexist in the color TV market. In the first half of the year, high definition became the hottest topic in the color TV industry. The Action Plan for the Development of Ultra HD Video Industry (2019-2022) mentions that in 2022, the overall scale of China’s ultra HD video industry will exceed 4 trillion yuan, the 4K industrial ecosystem will be basically perfect, and breakthroughs will be made in the R&D and industrialization of 8K key technology products, forming a group of internationally competitive enterprises. In the second half of the year, the Glory Smart Screen equipped with HarmonyOS system went on the market, which greatly boosted the color TV industry. Many color TV companies have launched smart new products, and socialization, intelligence and ultra-high definition have become the focus of competition among enterprises. However, from the annual reports of various color TV companies, the boost effect is limited.

The first quarterly report of color TV enterprises this year is hardly optimistic. Konka Group’s revenue fell by 27.53%, with a loss of 221 million yuan; Sichuan Changhong’s revenue fell by 18.65%, with a loss of 352 million yuan; Hisense’s video revenue decreased by 11.26% year-on-year, and its net profit was 51.37 million yuan, an increase of 91.79%.

Under the epidemic situation, small household appliances are resistant to pressure, and many enterprises enter the market.

Compared with the weakening of air-conditioning and color TV industries, small household appliances have performed well in pressure resistance. According to AVC data, in 2019, the sales of seven categories of small household appliances (cooker, magnet, pressure, bean, material, press and water) increased by 1.6% year-on-year, and the sales increased by 14.9% year-on-year.

In 2019, Midea, Supor and Jiuyang still occupied the top three shares of small household appliances. Midea Group’s small household appliances business occupies a major position. In 2019, the company’s consumer appliances revenue including refrigerators, washing machines, kitchen appliances and other small household appliances business was 109.487 billion yuan, up 6.31% year-on-year, accounting for 39.35% of the revenue.

In 2019, Supor’s operating income was 19.853 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.22%, and its net profit was 1.920 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.97%. In the same period, Jiuyang’s operating income was 9.351 billion yuan, up 14.48% year on year, and its net profit was 824 million yuan, up 9.26% year on year.

As a newly listed company of small household appliances, Bear Electric has performed well. Xiaoxiong Electric’s operating income was 2.688 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.70%; The net profit was 268 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.57%; The gross profit margin of most categories of small kitchen appliances is above 36%.

Under the epidemic situation, small household appliances have gone against the trend. Consumers are more and more at home, and cooking opportunities have increased. Interest in frying, frying and baking small household appliances with low current holdings has sprouted, and it has ushered in a "blowout" increase in a short period of time.

In the first quarter of 2020, thanks to the small household appliances business, Midea Group’s performance declined less than Gree and Haier. In the same period, Jiuyang’s revenue decreased by 5.37% and its net profit decreased by 9.91%. Supor’s revenue decreased by 30.29% and its net profit decreased by 40.44%. Xiaoxiong Electric grew against the trend in the first quarter, and its revenue increased by 17.32% year-on-year; Net profit increased by 83.66% year on year.

In the first quarter, many enterprises entered the small household appliances in succession. In March, Feike Electric announced that in order to realize the concentric multi-category strategy focusing on small household appliances and improve the product chain of small household appliances such as personal care appliances, household appliances and kitchen appliances, Feike Electric acquired a total of 15% equity of Pure Rice Technology.

In April, Fangtai Group released its first light kitchen brand "Mibo". This is the first time that Fangtai Group has entered the field of small kitchen appliances after many years of deep cultivation in the field of kitchen appliances.

On the evening of April 29th, Dong Mingzhu said in an interview with the Beijing News reporter, "The one who made small household appliances this year is doing very well. You may turn on the TV and find this little thing very interesting. You can buy one for two or three hundred yuan. If 100 million people buy it, there will be tens of billions of markets. Like our population of 1.4 billion, if we have an average of 100 yuan per person, there will be 140 billion yuan. "

The Beijing News reporter noted that the categories of household appliances in Gree Electric are also enriched. In 2019, Gree Electric continued to explore the business of kitchen appliances and small household appliances, and the revenue of household appliances was 5.576 billion yuan, accounting for 2.81% of the revenue, up 46.96% year-on-year.

The growth rate of kitchen appliance manufacturers has slowed down, and high gross profit is still there.

In 2019, the kitchen appliance market in China is still in the downward channel. According to the data of Aowei Cloud, the retail sales of range hoods in 2019 was 35.24 billion, down 7.5% year-on-year; The retail sales of gas stoves reached 20.02 billion, down 4.1% year-on-year.

At present, Midea, Gree and Haier all have layouts in kitchen appliances. Haier Zhijia’s kitchen appliance revenue in 2019 was 29.509 billion yuan, an increase of 18.27%. According to the data provided by the unlisted Fangtai Group, the sales revenue reached 10.8 billion yuan in 2019, which was basically the same for the whole year on the basis of the large negative growth in the first half of the year.

The growth rate of boss’s electrical appliance revenue slowed down, and Vantage and Wanhe Electric reduced their income one after another. In 2019, Boss Electric’s operating income was 7.761 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.52%, and its net profit was 1.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.89%; Vantage’s operating income was 5.748 billion yuan, down 5.69% year on year, and its net profit was 748 million yuan, up 10.46% year on year. Vanward Electric’s total operating income was 6.22 billion yuan, down 10.04% year on year, and its net profit was 598 million yuan, up 22.33% year on year.

Although the growth rate of performance has slowed down or declined, the high gross profit of kitchen appliances is still there. Boss Electric’s main product range hood gross profit margin was 58.47%, up 2.30% year-on-year; The gross profit margin of gas stoves was 56.01%, up 1.57% year-on-year. Vantage range hood gross profit margin was 51.14%, up 3.10% year-on-year; The gross profit margin of stoves was 52.80%, up 3.03% year-on-year; The gross profit margin of water heaters was 45.88%, a slight increase of 0.36% year-on-year.

The gross profit margin of domestic hot water products of Wanhe Electric was 41.07%, up 4.37% year-on-year; The gross profit margin of kitchen electrical products was 22.94%, up 5.50% year-on-year.

In 2019, integrated stoves, water purifiers, dishwashers, and steaming and baking machines became the focus of the expansion of various kitchen appliances companies. Di Chin Smart Kitchen Appliances, which is responsible for the integrated stove business, has a revenue of 230 million yuan and a net profit of 49.86 million yuan; The water purifier revenue was 77.53 million yuan. Vantage steaming and baking machine revenue was 102 million yuan, and the operating income of water purifier was 86.46 million yuan. Wanhe Electric’s sales of water purifiers are 65.3047 million yuan, and the sales of integrated stoves are 27.3745 million yuan.

In the context of the overall slowdown in performance growth, kitchen appliances companies are still keen on advertising. Boss’s advertising expenses for electrical appliances were 458 million yuan, compared with 598 million yuan in the same period of last year. Vantage spent 320 million yuan on advertising, compared with 319 million yuan in the same period of last year. Advertising expenses were 80.03 million yuan, compared with 88.41 million yuan in the same period of last year.

During the epidemic, kitchen appliances were greatly affected, online sales were bleak, and offline sales tended to stagnate. The performance of kitchen appliances companies in the first quarter of 2020 declined significantly. Boss Electric’s revenue in the first quarter was 1.266 billion yuan, down 23.77% year-on-year, and its net profit was 245 million yuan, down 23.35% year-on-year. Vantage’s revenue was 691 million yuan, down 48.07% year on year, and its net profit was 46.35 million yuan, down 65.01% year on year. Wanhe Electric’s revenue was 1.43 billion yuan, down 29.29% year on year, and its net profit was 128 million yuan, down 27.93% year on year.

Beijing News reporter Chen Weicheng Editor Zhao Ze proofreads Liu Baoqing.

[Text/Observer Network Xiong Chaoran] "Does the United States really dare to freeze or even confiscate China’s official reserve assets?" Last month, Wang Yongli, former vice president of Bank of China and a senior researcher at Chongyang Financial Research Institute of Renmin University of China, asked this question in an article he wrote.

This is indeed a good question, especially after the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the United States and its allies imposed severe sanctions on the Russian central bank, making about half of its foreign exchange reserves unusable. The West also cut off some large Russian banks from the western financial system and banned many high-tech products from exporting to Russia.

In the latest issue of The Economist, published on April 23rd, local time, the magazine interviewed many experts and scholars, and analyzed and discussed this question-if China acts at the geopolitical level, such as the mainland’s "Wu Tong" Taiwan Province, will the west treat China like Russia?

According to the article, most experts agree that it is impossible for western countries, led by the United States, to seriously damage China, the world’s second largest economy, while their own financial systems and trade markets are not seriously damaged. Therefore, for this reason, the West may "be afraid to go that far".

Screenshot of The Economist report

The article first quotes Eswar Prasad, a professor at Cornell University in the United States, saying that "the United States and its allies certainly have ways to deal with China". He believes that at present, the power center of global finance is still firmly occupied by the West, and two-thirds of China’s $3.2 trillion foreign exchange reserves may be western government bonds, and the United States and European countries can freeze these assets when necessary.

"But do western countries really dare (freeze assets)?" Subsequently, this article in The Economist immediately raised such a question. According to the article, freezing China’s foreign exchange reserves may not cause too much instability. China can find other ways to fight back, and the large amount of assets held by westerners in China will also be worrying.

Gerard Pi Bo, a senior researcher at the Center for International Strategy and Studies (CSIS), pointed out that in return, China could confiscate foreigners’ assets in China. By the end of last year, foreigners had $3.6 trillion in direct investment in China, including fixed factories and $2.2 trillion in stocks, bonds and other "portfolio" investments, which was six times as much as the equivalent assets held by foreign countries in Russia.

Data Map: Employees of a foreign trade enterprise in Pingxiang Logistics Park of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area are producing exported electronic products.. Photo from Xinhua News Agency

"What if the West also imposes sanctions on financial institutions other than the Bank of China?" The Economist has considered this question again, and the answer is that this may make western institutions face "financial backlash".

According to the data of the Financial Stability Board (FSB), an international financial regulator, among the 30 banks with "specific systemic importance" in the world, 4 are China banks. If these banks are attacked, it may harm the interests of western institutions that provide loans to them or open accounts there.

Clay Lowery of the International Finance Association (IIF), a bankers’ organization, said that he was "not confident" about whether western countries had the confidence to cut off the business of China banks in order to keep their financial stability undisturbed.

The article points out that if the West adopts these sanctions against China, it will also cause serious damage to trade. Last year, less than one-fifth of China’s trade was settled in RMB, and most of the rest was settled in US dollars.

Martin Chorzempa, a senior researcher at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in the United States, said: "Without insurance and trade credit, many economic activities will dry up. Since China is a major trading partner of more than 120 countries, this kind of destruction may turn the rest of the world against the United States and its allies. "

According to the article, China accounts for 18% of the total imports of the United States and more than 22% of the total imports of the European Union, including many parts used in domestic manufacturing. Therefore, blocking trade with China may harm the country’s own production, including its exports.

The proportion of parts and components of electronic and electrical products imported from China in 2020 is shown in The Economist.

According to the simulation calculation of Gabriel Felbermayr, a professor at Vienna University of Economics and his co-authors, if the United States and its allies cut China’s imports by more than 90%, its own exports will drop by nearly 10%.

Western experts believe that China’s most important influence comes from its vast market. The United States may want to deprive China of some high-tech R&D, such as semiconductors, but according to the data of Boston Consulting Group (BCG), a total ban on semiconductor production will cost American semiconductor companies 37% of their income and endanger more than 120,000 jobs.

At the end of the article, it is said that the West can strike Russia harder economically whenever Russia tries to fight back, but this may not be the case for China, which in turn will make China fight back. For example, as far as China is concerned, the export restriction of rare earth can be used as a tool, and rare earth is used in many electronic products, which may disrupt the supply chain of other manufacturing segments of electric vehicle battery boxes.

"Then, if the United States and its allies impose the same sanctions on China as on Russia, they may suffer considerable pain. For this reason, they may not dare to go that far, but they certainly hope that China will not find out. " The article draws such a conclusion.

This article is an exclusive manuscript of Observer. It cannot be reproduced without authorization.

　　　 Movie network news DreamWorks 3D cartoon met the domestic audience on April 20th. This cartoon, which was voiced by Nicolas Cage, Emma Stone and other movie stars, triggered a movie-watching craze in China. What is commendable is that Primitive Man has received almost zero bad reviews since its release, and the good reputation on the Internet has also contributed to the continuous rise of the box office.

Gao Qunshu repeatedly praised Weibo for firing "China films should reflect"

　　　 After watching the film, director Gao Qunshu praised it in his Weibo: "360-degree omni-directional view without dead ends, Xian Yi, young and old, is worth watching for more than five times. Life is so unhappy, and Primitive Man is so happy. The two hours in the cinema have made us happy for several days. Isn’t that enough? "

　　　 While Gao Dao praised Primitive Man, he also criticized China’s films with fierce words, and said rudely: "In the face of The Croods, China’s films are shit, of course, what I filmed is the dregs in the shit. Shame, shame, life is worse than death. " Although he deleted this Weibo soon after, it still triggered a discussion among netizens.

Clever film critics need a good story to push a good film collectively.

　　　 Even though The Croods’s box office performance in China is not so eye-catching, all the audiences who have seen the film are full of praise, especially a group of "Poison House" film critics who are slightly "tricky" on weekdays, but they all praised him this time. And think that although China movies have been improving, there are many good movies, but there are many defects.

　　　 The film critic, the Night Knight, has the strongest recommendation for this film among many film critics. He said, "After watching The Croods, there is almost no reason why not praise it. This is an animated film with excellent 3D effect, a warm and tearful family film, a road film with growing significance, a fantasy film full of wonders and monsters, and a crazy comedy that is full of joy. In short, it is a wonderful film beyond compare. Last year, many viewers missed "Invincible King of Broken Rings", so don’t leave any regrets about this one. "

　　　 When it comes to the gap between China’s films, his biggest problem is imagination: "In China’s films, the level of animated films needs to be improved most. After so many years, we have made a ‘ Pleasant goat ’ . The biggest problem is our lack of imagination, which is a problem accumulated by education for a long time, and it will not be solved for a while. "

　　　 Song Kaka, a media person, also sent a message to Weibo, saying: "Sometimes saw Thailand, Journey to the West and Encountering the West in the North, and thought that domestic films had improved, while Sometimes thought that Hong Kong and Taiwan films seemed to be ok again … Until one day, after watching The Croods, I laughed and cried from beginning to end. The truth was simple and simple, and my feelings were subtle. Finally, I realized that the gap between Chinese movies and Hollywood was still more than 150 years, and I was unable to evaluate it. I could only say: It’ s beautiful! " Film critic Hu Bugui immediately forwarded that domestic films "are not only poor in technology, but also poor in feelings, not only poor in creativity, but also poor in conscience."

　　　 On the other hand, in The Croods, directors Saunders and De Miko spent eight years patiently making this film, redefining the primitive people on the screen, and creating a lot of novel prehistoric creatures with rich imagination. They also suggested China Animation. "The most important thing is to have a good story. There are many touching stories and legends in China. If these stories with China characteristics can be turned into films, they can also be recognized by fans around the world with national characteristics." With patience, imagination and a good story, China movies hope to be on par with Hollywood movies. In the face of The Croods, who has almost no bad reviews, both China and China filmmakers should reflect.

Netizen’s hot comment:

　　　 Photographs: the unity of the family and their respective magical powers, the exile in Yuan Ye and the noise all the way, the affection, the wonders, and the various cute animals & HELIP; Echo before and after, without an unnecessary plot, roller coaster-style refreshing rhythm, laughing and crying all the way … DreamWorks animation is going to jump on Pixar to be the king of the world! Nomination for Best Animated Feature Film at the 86th Academy Awards in 2014

　　　 Taotaolinlin: Very good family animation. The story is very simple, tools, the use of fire and other reasons so that children can quickly understand, and then implanted with family and courage, the end is slightly moved. The whole story has many thrilling and funny scenes. The first paragraph of looking for breakfast is great, that is, it is wonderful, and it introduces the main characters, personality characteristics and living environment. This is a very common technique for screenwriters, but it is also very easy to use.　

　　　 Warm and sunny: Primitive people love to see tears and laugh until they burst into tears. The whole film is as enjoyable as riding a roller coaster. They don’t want to leave their seats at the end. I don’t know when I will meet such a movie again. It meets all our needs for movies. Family, friendship, love, communication and understanding grow into a cute and handsome adventure … … Ride the sun and fly to tomorrow!

　　　 Wood and Charlotte: Absolutely the best cartoon this year! My uncle Cage and stone sister dubbing is awesome! Tears are as low as I can’t stand DreamWorks’ incitement to affection! The last third are crying for Uncle Cage ~ the old foreign invasion and a family adventure! But I can’t hold it. Nice shot! I’m also happy to see the old-fashioned settings made by DreamWorks! Everyone loves impeccable five-star five-star The sequel is coming to the bowl! Pants and tanks are inexplicably cute! The flying at the end is too Noah’s Ark!

CCTV News:On January 10th, Shenzhen held a press conference on epidemic prevention and control. Since January 7th, the city has reported 4 confirmed cases in COVID-19, all of which were found in the detection of key populations, belonging to the same transmission chain.

The first case in this round of epidemic is engaged in the international goods supply chain and has a recent history of contact with overseas goods. According to comprehensive analysis, this epidemic is a local epidemic caused by overseas import, and it is highly likely that the exposure to pollutants from overseas Covid-19 will cause infection. From 12: 00 on January 7 to 24: 00 on January 9, Shenzhen completed a total of 22.187 million nucleic acid tests.

The sealed control community has sufficient materials and an orderly life.

Since the discovery of Covid-19-infected people on January 7th, Shenzhen has designated the relevant areas as closed and controlled areas.

Headquarters reporter Wei Xing:I am now located in Dongxinling Community, Buji Street, Longgang District, Shenzhen, where the first two cases of this epidemic in Shenzhen lived at that time. Now the local government has taken control measures on this place, and the building where they live has been classified as a medium-risk area, including the whole community, which is now under closed management. I can see that there is a red water horse behind me to enclose the whole community. At the entrance and exit of this community, there are staff from various departments. The public security department maintains the order of the scene, in addition, medical staff do some nucleic acid detection work here, and these volunteers wearing blue protective clothing are supported by various units. Their main job is to receive materials from the scene. If residents in the sealed control area buy some living materials, they will send them to the door of this community, and these volunteers will send them to the door of residents one by one to ensure their normal life.

It is understood that Dongxinling Community began to be closed and controlled from January 7, and the food in the first two days was distributed free of charge by the local epidemic prevention and control headquarters. From January 9, the local government organized large supermarkets to open online shopping channels to ensure the living order of residents.

　　Chengdu Business Daily reporter Huan Xiaohuai’s photo report

　　In the monitoring screen, Uncle Li looks around in the corridor of the Pixian government office, scanning the house number information on both sides. A few minutes ago, he was helped into the office building by the security guard at the door as a blind man, seeking assistance from the civil affairs department of Pixian County.

　　When the person in charge of the Pixian rescue management station rushed to the scene, Uncle Li showed his true colors. He had been rescued 126 times in the national rescue management information system, and his trip went north along the Yangtze River from his hometown of Jiujiang, Jiangxi, all the way to Sichuan.

　　The story of a professional runner

　　Build a building with computers and organic hemp.

　　On June 21, an old man with sunglasses and a crutch caught the attention of the security guard at the door outside the building of Pixian government office. "He said he would go to the Civil Affairs Bureau for help." Mr. Li, the security captain, recalled that everyone thought he was blind and helped him into the building. The old man took the elevator to the outside of the office of the Civil Affairs Bureau of Pixian County, but the security guard who was watching found the "blind man" looking around the corridor. The office of the Civil Affairs Bureau informed the person in charge of the rescue station to come to understand the situation, but Uncle Li only asked for accommodation.

　　When checking the information, the rescue station found that Uncle Li was named Li Hongbiao, and there have been more than 120 aid records. After being caught, Uncle Li pressed the elevator himself, walked down the 9-step ladder neatly, and stopped a taxi to leave after going out.

　　The reporter inquired that Uncle Li lives in a township in Wuning County, Jiangxi Province. The reporter contacted the local village party secretary Li Moumou. He revealed that Uncle Li has a disability in one eye and an 80-year-old mother. These are facts, but he is wandering all the year round. "The main reason is to make some money." Li Moumou said that Uncle Li’s family has a building on the first floor and the first floor. It was just renovated last year. There are computers and two or three machines at home. Usually, villagers are recruited to play mahjong at home and collect some tea money.

　　According to the National Rescue Management Information System, Uncle Li started running in December 2010 and went to Sichuan seven times. He was helped in food, accommodation and communication during the rescue.

　　■ More than 120 aid records Uncle Li, wearing sunglasses and crutches, appeared in the Pixian government office building and asked for help. Everyone helped him into the building, but he looked around in the corridor. Through information checking, he has more than 120 information on aid. After being caught, he pressed the elevator, walked down the 9 steps neatly, and stopped a taxi to leave after going out.

　　■ Rescue management upgrade The upgraded version of the National Rescue Management Information System began to be used this year, and the situation of the rescued people receiving assistance at rescue stations across the country is clear at a glance. It can help the rescue station to identify professional runners like Uncle Li.

　　Professional runners are all acting school.

　　Can pretend to be blind, can vomit blood and want money.

　　Lao Xiong has seen a lot of professional runners like Uncle Li. "One knows the policy better than the other. Real recipients are willing to go home, but they don’t just want money. "

　　Letters of distress and certificates of honor are all false.

　　In the records of the Pixian Rescue Station, on February 3, 2015, Xiao Wang, a 32-year-old from Xinxiang, Henan Province, came to the station to claim that he had AIDS and asked for money to buy medicine. Lao Xiong said that he could take him to the hospital. He also proposed to go home. The staff of the rescue station accompanied him to the station. "Generally, you can’t give money directly. You should watch them get on the bus when you buy a ticket, otherwise they will refund the ticket and cash out."

　　In the waiting area of the station, Xiao Wang went into the toilet and spat blood when he came out. When the staff of the rescue station and the station staff were busy, Xiao Wang disappeared. It turned out that he had returned the ticket and left the station.

　　Lao Xiong took out a pile of information, which was full of "critically ill notice", "distress letter" and "honorary certificate" … … "These are all false help-seeking materials that we found in joint investigations with the public security and urban management. They are all fake!" The reporter counted that there were 55 such materials.

　　"If you receive a helper from the public security and urban management departments, or if the rescue station patrols the street and finds someone asking for help." The staff of the rescue station said that they wanted to get help at the first time, but after verification, they often fell below the glasses — — Riding thousands of miles for 8 yuan and seeing netizens cheated are all routines.

　　"Running King" ran 874 stops in five years.

　　Last year, Pixian Rescue Station rescued more than 180 people. Among these recipients, 55 people have been rescued for more than three times, and 40 of them have been rescued for more than 100 times.

　　According to the national rescue information system, Lu Ming, who lives in kaiyuan city, Tieling, can be called the "running king". He began to "run the station" on May 21st, 2011, with a record of 874 stops, seeking help in food, accommodation, communication and transportation at the rescue station. According to the 88-page record, he has traveled all over Yunnan, Sichuan, Guizhou, Guangxi, Hunan, Jiangxi, Fujian, Guangdong, Hainan, Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai, Jiangsu, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Liaoning and other places. Among them, Yunnan, Hunan, Jiangxi, Fujian and Guangdong are the main positions, and almost every county in Yunnan has been visited.

　　From January to June this year, Lu Ming ran 30 stops every month. His latest record is that he was rescued in Maitreya County on June 23, and on June 17, he went to the rescue stations in Yuping, Xinhuang and Putian for help, running three rescue stations a day.

　　monster-revealing mirror

　　The nationwide network of rescue system blocks the space for runners to cheat money.

　　Professional runners waste social resources and occupy the space that really needs rescuers. The rescue station called for a more perfect linkage mechanism and blacklist system to block their space.

　　Lao Xiong revealed that the runners also built a QQ group. Where it is easy to fool, they will run to that place. Fortunately, the upgraded version of the National Rescue Management Information System began to be used this year. This is a "magic mirror". The information of the rescued person is clear at a glance, and the situation of his rescue at various rescue stations can be found. "It can help us improve our screening ability."

　　That’s how Uncle Li was identified. However, according to the principle of rescue management, "many times, although we know that it is a stop, we can’t ignore them." Lao Xiong said that Article 50 of China’s "Interim Measures for Social Assistance" stipulates that the state provides temporary accommodation, emergency treatment, assistance in returning and other assistance to vagrants and beggars who have no livelihood. However, the Ministry of Civil Affairs stipulates that, in principle, cash should not be provided to recipients. Due to special circumstances need to provide short-distance public transportation, generally not more than 20 yuan. Lao Xiong said that with the networking of the system, some runners began to March into towns and villages, "only go once, and then stop."

　　After a long time in the rescue station, the staff can tell who really needs help. "Real help seekers will be willing to stay or ask to go home." The old bear said, while runners are often articulate and clear-minded. Lao Xiong said that Chengdu has also established a linkage mechanism. People in towns and villages who need assistance should contact the rescue station in time. Those who have been rescued by the rescue station will also send a list to towns and villages to avoid repeated assistance. "Professional runners waste social resources and occupy the space that really needs rescuers." Lao Xiong called for the establishment of a more sound linkage mechanism and blacklist system, so that they have no loopholes to drill.

Original shichao bad review

Yesterday, Bing ushered in a super heavy update.

Apart from other details of the update, a comprehensive open beta is enough.

This means that you only need to register a Microsoft account to use Bing Chat.

In this way, I’m afraid Bing is the biggest language model with the lowest usage threshold at present.

In addition to the open beta, other updates are also very exciting. Before you rush to experience it, you can find out what new tricks Microsoft has made this time.

The world super here, for everyone to sum up as follows:

1. Multi-modal content and text mapping.

2. Historical record function.

3. Open plug-in access.

4, and a bunch of ultra-practical small functions.

It should be noted that at present, not all functions are open, so I will introduce them to you one by one.

First of all, it is the first update: graphic and multimodal content.

Although Microsoft launched Wencheng Map before, it has updated more than 100 languages this time, and now you can directly ask Bing to help you generate pictures in Chinese.

If you want to experience the latest pictures, you need to adjust the dialogue style to be "more creative". After that, just click and ask.

However, after the experience of Shichao, I feel that Bing’s Wen Chengtu is still almost interesting.

Because Bing is connected to DALL·E, the generated pictures may be good before. However, compared with midjourney and Stable Diffusion, which are now popular, it’s not enough. .

Moreover, although Chinese input is supported, the understanding of Chinese in Bing drawing is almost unknown.

When Shi Chao asked a classic "braised lion head", Bing really brought me a plate of lion head. .

If we look closely, we will find that it translates "lion’s head" into "lion’s head"

Sweet and Sour Mandarin Fish painted real squirrels and real fish. .

But Shichao soon discovered that it was not that Bing couldn’t draw. .

If we ask it to translate the input into English, it will understand that the lion’s head is not a lion, but a pork ball.

After the translation is in place, there is nothing wrong with the generated picture.

From this point of view, Bing’s own Chinese understanding should be no problem.

However, Wenchengtu is based on Bing image creator, a Microsoft painting platform, which may have translated Chinese literally when drawing.

After trying Wenchengtu, we are only halfway through the first big update. Visually, Bing has another highlight this time, which is its multimodal content.

When we ask a question, the related pictures will be displayed below the text results. In this way, the results can be displayed very intuitively, saving the time of going in and watching one by one.

Also asked "Braised Lion Head", Bing’s answer was completely correct, and even introduced the practice of this dish.

Shichao thought it would be convenient to use this image output function to find expression packs.

In addition to pictures, Bing’s multimodal mode also supports video output. Moreover, when we move the mouse to the video cover, we can also preview and play it online.

After that, not only the output content supports multimodal, but also the input can be uploaded with pictures.

What can be experienced at present is almost the first big update. Because of the following contents, most of them are not open to the public yet.

Although I can’t get started yet, from the demonstration video, it seems that they are the real highlights.

For example, the second updated history function can take the conversation experience to the next level.

Every time we ask questions, we will be saved in the guide on the right. Click on the question to jump to the corresponding location.

Moreover, after clicking on the answer link, Bing Chat will shrink to the side and become a page sidebar.

This small change is quite convenient. For example, if we import a PDF, we can use Bing to help you summarize, find words and translate.

In addition, Bing will also support long conversations. Even if we quit and close the chat interface halfway, the conversation will remain. Next time you click in, you can continue from the last place.

Chat content will also support exporting and sharing, and can be shared with friends on social media with one click, or imported into applications such as Word.

If the second update is to make it more convenient for users.

The third major update, which is also the most likely function of Shichao-plug-in, is to make Bing super-evolve.

The official example says that he is about to access the takeaway platform OpenTable. This means that in a word, you can ask Bing to recommend a restaurant for you, or make a direct restaurant reservation.

If you can access other platforms in the future, you may be able to stimulate stronger functions. For example, by accessing a map, you can make a route according to your own needs.

In addition, Microsoft will build a development platform to let more people participate in the development of plug-ins.

If this road goes on, it will be more than just the work done by search engines in the past.

In addition to the above three major updates, Microsoft also showed a lot of practical small functions, such as asking Bing to find a movie for you, and after finding it, you can jump and play it directly.

The mobile version will support page context questions, for example, if you are browsing an article or a website, you can ask Bing questions about what you are browsing, and it can also answer them.

Or write a manuscript directly on the Bing page and tell it the tone, length and wording you want.

I got so cruel that I even lost my job in Microsoft 365. .

Generally speaking, this update of Bing shows the ambition of this search engine.

That is: what search engines can do, I want to do my best, and what search engines can’t do before, I want to steal it now.

Moreover, in the official blog, Microsoft said that Bing’s daily activities have exceeded 100 million, and the daily installation of APP has increased fourfold.

In addition, the share of Edge continues to grow for 8 consecutive years, and various functions are updated and added, and third-party plug-ins supplement Bing.

Establishing a new Microsoft ecosystem may, indeed, be just around the corner.

Although many functions are not online yet, the next update is not far away. Because according to the feedback uploaded by users, Microsoft will make updates and changes every week.

Although very unkind, I really miss @ Google at this moment.

Brother, others have gone to the next Level. What about yours?

Written by: Four Editors: Jiang Jiang & Noodle Cover: Xuan Xuan

Pictures and data sources:

Twitter

Announcing the next wave of AI innovation with Microsoft Bing and Edge

Original title: "NewBing suddenly opened up in an all-round way, and also updated the functions of a bunch of dead friends. 》

Read the original text

[Editor’s Note] "We should develop traditional Chinese medicine, pay attention to interpreting the principles of traditional Chinese medicine with modern science, and take the road of combining traditional Chinese and western medicine." On May 12th, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader once again asked about Chinese medicine during his inspection tour in Nanyang City, Henan Province, and put forward new and clear requirements for the further development of Chinese medicine.

Inheriting the essence, the development of traditional Chinese medicine can go back to ancient times; The development of traditional Chinese medicine will be clear and turbulent only when it is upright and innovative. Combined with the outstanding performance and experience of Chinese medicine in the treatment of COVID-19 epidemic, many Chinese medicine experts who have participated in the first-line anti-epidemic talk about their experiences, offering suggestions and suggestions for the high-quality development of Chinese medicine and protecting the health of all mankind.

Liu Qingquan, Dean of Beijing Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine affiliated to Capital Medical University. Photo courtesy of respondents

"The future development of Chinese medicine is to be brave and dare to combine with modern science and technology, and to be good at using modern science and technology language to make the oldest theory of Chinese medicine clear and clear, so that Chinese medicine can truly become a world medicine and a medical system that can be used by all countries and ethnic groups." Combined with the treatment of COVID-19 epidemic, Liu Qingquan, president of Beijing Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine affiliated to Capital Medical University, said that the integration of traditional Chinese medicine and western medicine is very important for the development of traditional Chinese medicine, and it may form a new medicine in the future. It not only has the traditional theoretical advantages of Chinese medicine classics, but also embodies the connotation of modern science and technology; It is neither classical Chinese medicine nor modern western medicine, but a complete medical system with complementary advantages.

On February 15th, 2020, in beijing ditan hospital, a pharmacist dispensed medicine for COVID-19 patients in a traditional Chinese medicine pharmacy. Xinhua News Agency reporter Yan Huanzong photo

The experience of Chinese and western collaborative treatment lays the foundation for the formation of new medicine.

In the process of fighting against the epidemic in COVID-19, the effective prescription of traditional Chinese medicine-"three drugs and three parties" screened out by clinic has played an important role.

Liu Qingquan, who once served as an expert in Hubei Central Steering Group and deputy head of the national expert group on medical treatment of traditional Chinese medicine, said that "three drugs and three parties" is actually a classic theory of China traditional Chinese medicine, a treatment method based on the experience of traditional Chinese medicine in treating plague for thousands of years, and a model for coping with new diseases.

"Through the analysis of COVID-19’s clinical characteristics, we have formed the idea that we can combine various effective prescriptions to treat, thus forming the basic idea of’ three parties and three drugs’, that is, according to the changes of etiology and different stages of illness, we can adjust and combine to form effective treatment methods. This proves the greatness and correctness of the theory of traditional Chinese medicine and verifies that it conforms to scientific laws. " Liu Qingquan said.

"In the process of using’ three parties and three drugs’ treatment, we have also preliminarily explored and mastered some theoretical data of treating COVID-19 with traditional Chinese medicine. These studies prove that the basis of treating COVID-19 with traditional Chinese medicine is scientifically explained from different aspects, such as the adjustment of immune system and inflammatory system, which are the important pathological links that cause the disease to change, get worse and worse during the onset of COVID-19." Liu Qingquan analysis.

"In terms of coordinated treatment of Chinese and Western medicine, Chinese and Western medicine have their own strengths, and ultimately played a very important role in improving the success rate of severe and critical care and reducing the mortality rate, which proved the internal theoretical basis of coordinated treatment of Chinese and Western medicine and made some necessary preparations for exploring the organic integration of Chinese and Western medicine to form a new medicine." Liu Qingquan pointed out.

On February 25th, 2020, in Jiangxia Fangcang Hospital, Zhan Min (right), a medical staff member of the First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, performed acupoint application therapy for COVID-19 patients. Xinhua News Agency reporter Shen Bohan photo

Exploration of Traditional Chinese Medicine Shelter Hospital Model of Infectious Diseases Hospital with Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine

In the process of Chinese medicine participating in Wuhan epidemic prevention and control and clinical treatment, Fangcang Hospital has become a medical pioneering work in a special period.

Liu Qingquan, a former president of Jiangxia Fangcang Hospital, was deeply touched by the experience of Chinese medicine taking over Fangcang Hospital. He said that the establishment of the shelter hospital is a very effective way to deal with sudden large-scale infectious diseases. In the shelter hospital, the treatment of light and ordinary patients with traditional Chinese medicine can effectively speed up the improvement of patients’ condition, reduce the occurrence of severe and critical diseases and reduce the mortality rate. In addition, because the source of infection is cut off in time, the control of virus transmission also plays a very important role.

Liu Qingquan believes that the experience and achievements gained by taking over Fangcang Hospital with traditional Chinese medicine technology to treat light and ordinary patients in COVID-19 have paved the way for the state to support the establishment of infectious disease hospitals and specialized hospitals with integrated traditional Chinese and western medicine. This will enable the future to quickly form a powerful force of combining traditional Chinese and western medicine, whether dealing with common infectious diseases or sudden new infectious diseases.

On May 23, 2021, the doctor set up the automatic decocting machine in Yingkou Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Liaoning Province. Xinhua News Agency reporter Pan Xiaolong photo

Increase investment to support the construction of Chinese medicine institutions and Chinese medicine research.

Nowadays, in the treatment of many local epidemics distributed in China, the treatment scheme of traditional Chinese medicine is becoming more and more perfect and mature, and has achieved very good results. The methods of classified treatment and management of traditional Chinese medicine have become more and more popular and have become the consensus of the medical community.

"Compared with this treatment effect, there are too few medical institutions of Chinese medicine, which is a limitation to the role of Chinese medicine and its future development." Liu Qingquan called on the state to increase investment in TCM research and institution building. In dealing with infectious diseases, it is hoped that the state can support the establishment of infectious disease hospitals in mature areas with traditional Chinese medicine or integrated traditional Chinese and western medicine.

Liu Qingquan said that infectious diseases are the public enemy of mankind, regardless of Chinese medicine and western medicine, regardless of population and race. Therefore, I hope that China can make achievements in the construction of infectious disease hospitals with traditional Chinese medicine and integrated traditional Chinese and western medicine, and set an example for promoting the development of China medicine and even the world medicine. I hope that colleagues of Chinese and Western medicine can work together in Qi Xin to seize the opportunity and let the development of traditional Chinese medicine enter a new era.

Recently, the China Breast Cancer Screening Standard (T/CPMA 014-2020) proposed by China National Cancer Center was published online in chinese journal of cancer prevention and treatment. The correspondent is Professor He Jie, director of National Cancer Center and academician of China Academy of Sciences.

As a common cancer, according to the latest global cancer burden data released by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) of the World Health Organization in 2020, there were 2.26 million new breast cancer cases in the world in 2020, surpassing lung cancer (2.21 million cases) for the first time, becoming the largest cancer in the world, accounting for 11.7% of new cancer cases. Among the newly diagnosed cancer patients, one in every eight is a breast cancer patient. China is a big country with breast cancer. In 2020, there will be about 420,000 new cases of breast cancer and nearly 120,000 deaths.

Screening, improving the detection rate of early breast cancer and precancerous lesions, and timely and effective treatment are important measures to improve the prognosis of breast cancer and reduce the risk of death. The standards put forward suggestions on the population, measures, results and management of breast cancer screening in China. We have sorted out the relevant contents, hoping to help you better understand the knowledge of breast cancer screening.

Image source: 123RF

Who should have breast cancer screening?

The standard suggests that people at high risk of breast cancer should be screened from the age of 40; The general risk population (all school-age women except the high-risk population) should be screened for breast cancer between 45 and 70 years old.

High-risk population

Women who meet any of the following conditions 1, 2 and 3 are at high risk of breast cancer.

1. Women with genetic family history, that is, women with any of the following: 1) First-degree relatives (mothers, daughters and sisters) have a history of breast cancer or ovarian cancer; 2) Among the second-degree relatives (aunts, grandmothers and grandmothers), two or more people suffered from breast cancer before the age of 50; 3) Among the second-degree relatives, 2 or more have ovarian cancer before the age of 50; 4) At least one first-degree relative carries a known pathogenic genetic mutation of BRCA1/2 gene, or carries a pathogenic genetic mutation of BRCA1/2 gene himself.

2. Have any of the following: 1) Age of menarche ≤12 years old; 2) menopausal age ≥55 years old; 3) Have a history of breast biopsy or surgery for benign breast diseases, or a history of atypical hyperplasia of breast (lobules or ducts) confirmed by pathology; 4) Use hormone replacement therapy of "estrogen and progesterone combination" for not less than half a year; 5) X-ray examination of breast after 45 years old suggests that the type of breast parenchyma (or breast density) is uneven compactness or compactness.

Note: Breast parenchyma types can be divided into fat type, scattered fibrous gland type, heterogeneous dense type (which may cover small masses) and dense type (which reduces the sensitivity of breast cancer detection).

3. Those who have any of the following two items: 1) No breast-feeding history or breast-feeding time less than 4 months; 2) No history of live birth (including never giving birth, abortion or stillbirth) or the age of first live birth ≥30 years old; 3) hormone replacement therapy using only "estrogen" for not less than half a year; 4) Abortion (including natural abortion and induced abortion) shall not be less than 2 times.

Image source: 123RF

How to screen?

General risk population: breast ultrasound examination should be performed every 1-2 years; If you do not have the conditions for breast ultrasound examination, you should use mammography.

High-risk population: breast ultrasound combined with mammography is performed once a year.

How to understand the screening results?

Classification of diagnostic results of mammography

The diagnostic results of mammography are usually classified by the Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS), which is formulated by American Radiological Society (ACR) and widely used internationally.

1. BI-RADS 0: The existing image failed to complete the evaluation, and other image examinations need to be added.

2. BI-RADS 1: normal, no abnormality was found in mammography. The possibility of malignancy is 0%.

3. BI-RADS 2: Benign findings, with definite benign changes and no malignant signs. The possibility of malignancy is 0%.

4. BI-RADS 3: Benign lesions that may be large. 0% < malignant possibility ≤2%.

5. BI-RADS 4: Suspected malignant lesions, but without typical malignant signs. 2% < malignant possibility < 95%.

6. BI-RADS 4A: low-grade suspected malignancy. 2% < malignant possibility ≤10%.

7. BI-RADS 4B: moderately suspected malignant. 10% < malignant possibility ≤50%.

8. BI-RADS 4C: highly suspected malignant. 50% < malignant possibility < 95%.

9. BI-RADS 5: Highly suggestive of malignant lesions with typical imaging features of breast cancer. Malignant possibility ≥95%.

Image source: 123RF

Classification of ultrasonic diagnosis results of breast

The classification of ultrasound evaluation refers to the screening of National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) and the BI-RADS classification standard proposed by American Radiological Society.

1. BI-RADS 0: The diagnostic information obtained by ultrasound is incomplete and cannot be evaluated, and it needs to be evaluated after other imaging examinations.

2. BI-RADS 1: negative, no abnormality was found by ultrasound. The possibility of malignancy is 0%.

3. BI-RADS 2: Benign lesions, with definite benign changes and no malignant signs. The possibility of malignancy is 0%.

4. BI-RADS 3: Benign lesions that may be large. 0% < malignant possibility ≤2%.

5. BI-RADS 4: Suspected malignant lesions, but without typical malignant signs. 2% < malignant possibility < 95%.

6. BI-RADS 4A: low-grade suspected malignancy. 2% < malignant possibility ≤10%.

7. BI-RADS 4B: moderately suspected malignant. 10% < malignant possibility ≤50%.

8. BI-RADS 4C: highly suspected malignant. 50% < malignant possibility < 95%.

9. BI-RADS 5: Highly suggestive of malignant lesions with typical imaging features of breast cancer. Malignant possibility ≥95%.

Image source: 123RF

Screening result management

1. BI-RADS 1 and BI-RADS 2 need no special treatment.

2.　BI-RADS 3：

The evaluation of mammography is BI-RADS 3, so it is advisable to reexamine the breast on the lesion side at the next 6 months, and reexamine the breast on both sides at the 12th and 24th months.

If the lesion remains stable, it can continue to be reexamined, and if it has not changed for 2-3 years, it can be reduced to BI-RADS 2. If the lesion disappears or shrinks during the reexamination, it can be directly evaluated as BI-RADS 2 or BI-RADS 1. Biopsy should be considered if suspicious findings are found in the lesions during the reexamination.

The breast ultrasound evaluation is BI-RADS 3, so it is advisable to have breast ultrasound reexamination in 3-6 months, and it can be reduced to BI-RADS 2 if there is no change after 2 years of follow-up.

3. BI-RADS 4A: Further imaging examination and biopsy are needed.

4. BI-RADS 4B: Further imaging examination is needed, and biopsy is appropriate.

5. BI-RADS 4C and BI-RADS 5: Biopsy should be performed.

Image source: 123RF

tag

According to the standard, the breast physiological characteristics and breast cancer epidemic characteristics of women in China are quite different from those in western countries, so we can’t copy foreign experience. Establishing breast cancer screening standards suitable for women in China will play an important role in improving the scientificity, feasibility and practicability of breast cancer screening and reducing the incidence and mortality of breast cancer.

reference data

[1] He Jie, et al.,(2021). China female breast cancer screening standard (T/CPMA 014-2020). chinese journal of cancer prevention and treatment, DOI: 10.16073/J.CNKI.CJCPT.2021.01.02.

[2] Latest global cancer data: Cancer burden rises to 19.3 million new cases and 10.0 million cancer deaths in 2020. Retrieved Nov 16 ,2020, from https://www.iarc.fr/fr/news-events/latest-global-cancer-data-cancer-burden-rises-to-19-3-million-new-cases-and-10-0-million-cancer-deaths-in-2020/

Note: The purpose of this article is to introduce the progress of medical health research, not to recommend treatment schemes. For guidance on treatment plan, please go to a regular hospital.

　　This article was originally written by "Suning Financial Research Institute" in WeChat official account. The author is Tao Jin, Assistant Director of Macroeconomic Research Center of Suning Financial Research Institute. The first picture is from Yitu. com.

　　Recently, official website, the US Department of Commerce, issued a statement saying that the special relevant treatment for Hong Kong has been cancelled, including the suspension of export license exemption, and the differential treatment is being evaluated, while the export policy of related technologies to Hong Kong is being adjusted. These changes mean that the United States began to restrict its exports to Hong Kong.

　　Under the background of the COVID-19 epidemic, the actions of the US Department of Commerce are quite damaging to the global industrial chain system. The epidemic is wrapped in trade protectionism and continues to impact the global industrial chain system, and the risk of industrial chain interruption is accumulating.

　　Compared with the global economic recession is affected by short-term external events, the impact of the industrial chain is more worrying, because the destruction of the global industrial chain system is more like a long-term and more difficult to recover.

　　The industrial chain system has been destroyed, and the epidemic situation is only a fuse, but this fuse may evolve into a major blow to the globalization process. Today, globalization has a history of 600 years. Will it end because of this epidemic?

　　A brief history of globalization

　　Globalization originated from the great geographical discovery. During the 600 years from the 15th century to the present, globalization has been affected and hindered in various ways, but the overall trend is deepening.

　　1. Great geographical discovery

　　From the 15th century to the 17th century, European fleets appeared in the oceans all over the world, looking for new trade routes and trading partners to develop Europe’s nascent capitalism.

　　Sailors led by Columbus and da Gama have opened up many new sea routes, and also created the "era of great navigation", which is also called "geographical discovery" in history.

　　After the era of great navigation, colonialism and free trade began to appear, and globalization experienced intermittent development, reaching its peak in the 1910s, but then came World War I, when the process of globalization was paused, and then fascism appeared, which led to World War II.

　　2. Globalization after World War II

　　After World War II, many international organizations, such as GATT, have greatly reduced the barriers to international trade, especially the World Trade Organization, which evolved from GATT in 1995, has obviously accelerated the process of free trade and globalization in the past 30 years.

　　After stagflation and local wars in 1980s, globalization began to exert its strength in 1990s and continued until the global financial crisis in 2008. During this period, the proportion of global trade in the global economy increased from less than 15% to nearly 26%.

　　In 2008, the global financial crisis had a direct impact on global trade, which made countries start to consider the chain reaction of risk events brought by global contact again. However, this impact was not fatal to globalization, and trade remained large in the following years.

　　In addition to trade in goods and services, international capital flows are also a major manifestation of globalization. The core member and leader of the WTO is the United States. In fact, the United States has indeed exported dollars and economic hegemony through globalization, and gained a lot of benefits. In particular, American multinational companies have made use of low-cost production factors to produce and sell nearby all over the world and made a lot of profits.

　　Similar to international trade, the scale of foreign direct investment in countries around the world has been increasing since the 1990s. Despite the impact of events such as the bursting of the Internet bubble, the September 11th incident and the global financial crisis, the general trend of increasing capital flows has not changed.

　　3. Globalization and China’s Reform and Opening-up.

　　The accelerated globalization in recent decades has just matched the process of reform and opening up in China. China’s economic growth has experienced a rare high-speed growth in human history.

　　After the reform and opening up, China actively integrated into the global free trade system led by the United States, and continued to enhance its economic strength through the strategies of "export orientation" and "import substitution". At that time, the United States was busy with the cold war with the Soviet Union. After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, it was busy exporting political, military and economic hegemony, cleaning up the "backyard" of South America, fighting two Gulf wars and catching bin Laden everywhere, which made it "too busy to look east" and its attitude towards China’s integration into the global economy was open and welcome.

　　In the process of integrating into the free trade system, China’s trade scale has continued to grow, even reaching 4.62 trillion US dollars in 2018, surpassing the United States (4.28 trillion US dollars) to become the world’s largest trading country, which is quite a bit like "doing something for another". It should be said that China may be one of the countries that have benefited most from globalization in recent decades.

　　Epidemic situation impacts trade and industrial chain.

　　Under the epidemic, production activities in many places around the world stagnated, which directly hit trade. Since March, the increase in unemployment, the decrease in income and the suspension of production activities have caused the trade between the United States and the European Union to shrink significantly. Even Japan, which has done a good job in epidemic prevention and control, has experienced a relatively obvious decline.

　　In the case of global recession and trade contraction, although China’s current domestic demand accounts for a larger proportion, it can resist the greater impact of external demand, but it is still inevitably impacted in both demand and industrial chain. What is even more worrying is that the contraction of foreign trade has caused a large number of enterprises in the foreign trade field, especially small and medium-sized enterprises, to go bankrupt and potential unemployment.

　　From the historical data, the fluctuation of China’s export growth is highly consistent with the fluctuation of GDP growth. According to statistics, if the global economic growth rate drops by 1 percentage point, China’s export growth rate will drop by 6-8 percentage points. Such a large-scale contraction of export business will inevitably lead to the contraction and even bankruptcy of a large number of foreign trade enterprises.

　　Because China and the global industrial chain system have formed a criss-crossing deep connection, the blow to the industrial chain also involves a very wide range of industries in China. In a large number of industries (especially automobile industry and electronics industry), China is an exporter of other countries in some links, but in other links, China is an importer of other countries. The stagnation of one link may affect the normal production of the whole industry.

　　Here, give an example of my personal experience to illustrate:

　　Once, the author took Didi, talked with the driver’s master, and learned that he was a builder working in a nearby construction site. He used to use his spare time to start Didi, but after the epidemic came, the construction site stopped working and he began to start Didi full-time.

　　He said that the shutdown was not due to the fact that it was not allowed to resume work at home, but because a foreign key device manufacturer stopped working. Without this device, the construction process had to be suspended.

　　This subverts the author’s understanding of the degree of integration of the global industrial chain, because when it comes to international trade, it is often not associated with the construction industry, but even the construction industry is now deeply bound to the global industrial chain.

　　In addition, there are two factors that aggravate this influence:

　　First, in the process of globalization, China is more and more deeply involved in the transmission process of global value chain. China’s participation in global value chains has reached 62% in 2017. Therefore, all kinds of raw materials and energy are cut off due to the global epidemic, which has also brought a big impact to China’s industrial chain.

　　Second, China is downstream in the global value chain. The upstream degree of China in the global value chain is 1%, far lower than the 4% of open economies and 29% of the United States (in 2017). The interruption of import supply chain of upstream products, especially energy and raw materials, will have a great impact on some industries in China.

　　From the import data over the years, it can be found that the import scale of raw materials, energy and primary products in China shows an overall upward trend, and a large number of export products in China are manufactured goods. It can be seen that China’s trade field is highly dependent on foreign upstream products, and the risk of "grain shortage" in China’s industrial production caused by supply shortage is still relatively high.

　　Behind the impact of industrial chain: anti-globalization

　　The impact of industrial chain not only comes from external events such as epidemic situation, but also is the result of intensified anti-globalization in recent years.

　　1, the epidemic is the fuse.

　　In January and February, after China’s production activities stopped due to the epidemic, the European and American economies were greatly affected. The supply of intermediate products and materials needed for production activities in many countries was interrupted, and more seriously, the supply of final consumer goods was interrupted, which affected the basic consumption of residents.

　　In March and April, European and American countries urgently needed masks, protective clothing, ventilators and other anti-epidemic materials, but suddenly found that not only did they not have the production capacity of ventilators, but even the simplest masks could not be produced, and finally they had to rely on China for export, which not only led to an increase in prices, but also failed to guarantee the supply in time. At this time, European and American countries were alert: "You can’t put eggs in the basket of China".

　　2. Trade protectionism is on the rise

　　In recent years, in developed countries, due to their own reasons, such as the solidification of social class and the widening gap between the rich and the poor, most ordinary people have not enjoyed the benefits brought by globalization, and more benefits have been divided by large industrial groups and multinational companies.

　　In order to safeguard the interests of the people, leaders of many countries have opposed free trade and global industrial division of labor, which has led to the rise of populism and trade protectionism, and also the phenomenon of anti-globalization. The global epidemic will inevitably lead to more intensified internal contradictions and increased social instability in Europe and the United States. This will in turn stimulate populism and trade protectionism, further aggravating the degree of anti-globalization. China has gained great benefits from globalization after its accession to the WTO, and these benefits may be reduced by the above changes in the future.

　　How serious will the industrial chain impact be?

　　Generally speaking, there are three forms of industrial chain impact: manufacturing industry moves to emerging markets such as India and Southeast Asia; The manufacturing industry in developed countries has returned and the industrial chain has been localized; Western countries’ restrictions on China’s imports and exports in certain fields.

　　However, these three forms of shocks either have conditions that do not fully meet the reality, or have corresponding countermeasures. In the long run, China still has great opportunities and space to meet these challenges.

　　1. Manufacturing industry moves out.

　　Now it seems that the destination of manufacturing migration is nothing more than India, Vietnam and other markets. However, there are more or less three fatal problems in these markets: First, although the labor cost is low, the scale and quality of the labor force cannot be compared with China in the short term, the economies of scale are not obvious, and the production efficiency is not high; Second, poor infrastructure conditions, poor transportation, production equipment and other facilities, production quality can not be guaranteed; Third, the lack of producer services can not provide high-quality supporting services for the manufacturing industry. Therefore, in the short term, these countries cannot effectively undertake large-scale manufacturing.

　　2. The return of manufacturing industry in developed countries.

　　After the outbreak, Japan plans to allocate 243.5 billion yen from the economic stimulus plan to adjust its production line in China, of which 220 billion yen will be used to help Japanese enterprises move their production lines back to China.

　　Developed countries, such as the United States, have been calling on their manufacturing enterprises to move back, but the effect is not very satisfactory. Because this kind of relocation faces two problems: first, because foreign capital has been invested in China, the cost of relocation is very large. Of course, this "moving fee" enterprise is unwilling to bear, and even the government will feel great financial pressure; Second, the cost and benefit evaluation often does not support relocation. Under the huge relocation cost, the cost of local manpower and supporting services after relocation is obviously higher than that of China, and the products produced are sold to China, and there is an extra tariff out of thin air, which is not cost-effective.

　　In addition, for China, after the economy developed to a certain level, the proportion of service industry increased, while the proportion of manufacturing industry decreased, and the overall impact brought by the relocation of manufacturing industry was also discounted.

　　3. Western countries’ restrictions on China’s imports and exports in certain fields.

　　This may be the most intractable problem facing China in the short term, and the US Department of Commerce’s actions against Hong Kong fall into this category. However, China has a relatively complete industrial system, which can resist this risk to some extent.

　　In the United Nations industrial classification, all industries can be divided into 39 industrial categories, 191 medium categories and 525 subcategories. China has 39 industrial categories, 191 middle categories and 525 sub-categories, making it the only country in the world with all the industrial categories listed in the United Nations Industrial Classification, and all the industrial categories listed in the United Nations Industrial Classification can be found in China. Among more than 500 major industrial products announced by the United Nations, China ranks first in the world in terms of output of about 220 kinds.

　　Therefore, it is preliminarily judged that the impact of global supply chain interruption on China’s industrial production can be controlled in the field of foreign trade, and the risk of spreading to internal larger-scale manufacturing industry is still controllable.

　　How to deal with it?

　　Although in the long run, the impact of industrial chain can be effectively alleviated, but in the short term, China’s economy, especially China’s enterprises, still have to face the challenges of trade and industrial chain turmoil. In addition to the government’s hedging and rescue policies, China enterprises can adjust their business and development strategies in the face of increasingly harsh internal and external environment in order to tide over the difficulties through the following methods.

　　1. Streamline business and shrink the development front.

　　Faced with the shrinking demand and the interruption of supply chain, enterprises need to strictly control the business content, strengthen the management of the main business, and at the same time shrink the development front, so as to avoid more potential risks. If enterprises increase investment against the trend and implement diversified development, they may face operational risks in many fields. For example, failure in a specific market often leads to a chain reaction, which breaks through the cash flow of enterprises, resulting in damage to the main business.

　　Streamlining business, at the same time, also means "reducing expenditure", strictly controlling investment, eliminating redundant phenomena, and even involving appropriate downsizing and salary reduction, so as to retain more concentrated energy to develop major businesses and enhance core competitiveness.

　　2. Adjust the target market to meet the change of market direction.

　　In a worse external environment, a large number of foreign trade enterprises are facing the challenge of exporting to domestic sales. Fortunately, the domestic demand market in China is constantly expanding, and new market demands are constantly emerging. Enterprises need to seize these opportunities, find the right market direction on the basis of their own operating advantages, and actively cater to the future development trend of emerging industries, such as offline to online, and seize opportunities such as Internet and platform transformation.

　　3. Maintain cash flow and persist in survival.

　　China’s role as a safe haven for financial assets is more obvious. Under the logic of economic development, China’s economy and assets are more attractive than before, and foreign capital continues to flow into China. It is obviously less difficult for China to stabilize its economy than other countries. Once the economy stabilizes, it is still possible for China to upgrade its position in the global economy, and continue to maintain the first position in the global consumer market scale and economic activity. At that time, China enterprises will also have broad demand again.

This article was first published on WeChat WeChat official account: Suning Financial Research Institute. The content of the article belongs to the author’s personal opinion and does not represent Hexun.com’s position. Investors should operate accordingly, at their own risk.

The 55th Golden Horse Poster

1905 movie network news Today, the main visual poster of the 55th Golden Horse Award was released, which once again firmly attracted the attention. This poster with blue and gold as the main color looks like staring at the sleeping sand dunes in the middle of the night from a distance. If you look closely, you will find that it is four faces lined up in turn. This poster was designed by Fang Xuzhong, the poster designer and visual director of the ceremony last year. It extends the concept of "everyone plays a supporting role in the film" and draws the facial contours of Ang Lee (Chairman of the Executive Committee of Taipei Golden Horse Film Festival), Hou Xiaoxian (Dean of Golden Horse Film Academy), Gong Li (Chairman of the Golden Horse Award Jury) and Xiao Ye (Judge of Golden Horse Venture Capital Conference) into dune shapes. The picture made up of tiny particles of light and shadow also seems to imply the ambiguous connection between retaining the instantaneous image with light and shadow and the passing time.

　

The main visual posters of the Golden Horse Awards pay attention to convey the understanding of Chinese movies with rich imagination and bold creativity, which has always been a highlight of the Golden Horse Awards. In recent years, almost all the main visual posters have paid tribute to Taiwan Province’s old films and filmmakers.

　

In 2017, the main visual posters of the 54th Golden Horse Awards were the "Shadow Idiot Edition" and "Fan Edition" posters with the stills of "Spring Breeze" as the main elements. The two posters project the pictures from the stills onto various screens to convey the real and illusory feeling brought by the film, which is similar to the 53rd brighter summer day designed by Huang Hai, in which the junior four illuminates the night sky with a flashlight to show that "the light of the film never goes out".

　"Shadow Idiot Edition" (54th edition) by square sequence

"Fan Edition" (54th session)

The 53rd Tribute to Guling Street by Yellow Sea

Even more amazing is the 50th Golden Horse, a Maggie Cheung-themed poster designed by Taiwan Province graphic designer Nie Yongzhen (who designed album covers for Jay Chou, Yoga Lin and others). The image of Maggie Cheung is partially cut to show different areas of the face, which means that the film is like a slice of time, so it can’t really keep time, so it can only intercept fragments.

　The 50th Maggie Cheung by Nie Yongzhen

In addition, it is worth noting that cartoonist Jimmy has designed the main visual poster for the Golden Horse Award twice. At the 39th Taipei Golden Horse Film Festival, he gathered his characters in the cinema and opened a small door under it. It not only means that the film blurs the boundary between reality and illusion, but also outlines the pleasant atmosphere of watching movies.

How many meters is the 39th by?

Another time was the 49th Golden Horse Award 10 years later. He created in oil painting for the first time in public and handed in three design drawings at one time. Two of them are a pair of dressed-up "hot horses and handsome horses", and the final picture is the picture of a little boy and a horse flying on the sea. According to Jimmy himself, this means "the pursuit of light and shadow".

　How many meters is the 49th by?

Next, please enjoy the main visual poster of the Golden Horse Award from 2008 to this decade &mdash; &mdash;

The 45th Session (2008), which rejected complexity and chose simple color blocks.

The 45th by Nie Yongzhen

　 　 　 　 　A camera head who is always running, 46th (2009)

The 46th by Wang Zhihong

　 　 　 　 　 Seconds of Glass Breaking, 47th (2010)

The 47th by Wang Zhihong

　 　 　 　Inspired by Hou Hsiao-hsien, the 48th session (2011) is based on the essential old camera which may be closer to gaze.

The 48th by Lin Xiaoyi (cover designer of Kawabata Yasunari series)

　 　 　 The Pursuit of Light and Shadow, 49th (2012)

The 51st by Xiao Qingyang (album cover artist)

　 　 　 　Chivalrous women with stick figures, hidden in gilded lines, 52nd (2015).

The 52nd, by Zhang Shuping.

　 　 　 　　"The Light of Movies: Looking Back, Illuminating Forward", 53rd (2016)

The 53rd Tribute to Guling Street by Yellow Sea

　 　 　 　To pay tribute to the 20th anniversary of the publication of "Spring Break", selected by Wong Kar-wai himself, the 54th (2017).

The 54th session　By square order

　 　 　 　 The 2018 Golden Horse Film Festival will be held from November 8 to 25.